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2005 Crystal Ball® User Conference Papers

DenverThe 2005 Crystal Ball User Conference was held June 13-15, 2005 at the Marriott Denver City Center, in beautiful Denver, Colorado. The conference consisted of two full days with 24 feature case studies, workshops, and in-depth tutorials presented by risk modeling professionals and Crystal Ball experts.


(click on any talk title for the PDF file)

An Application of Portfolio Optimization with Risk Assessment To E&P Projects
Juan Marcelo Antelo Rodriguez, Petrobras Bolivia, Economic Engineer

Corporate Finance Risk Analysis with Crystal Ball - Are We Adding Value?
Huybert Groenendaal, Partner, Vose Consulting US LLC

Creating Better Spreadsheet Models, Smarter Analyses, and Wiser Presentations in Less Time
Thomas A. Grossman, Ph.D., Associate Professor, University of San Francisco

Diablo Canyon Power Plant: Steam Generator Repair/Replacement Cost Benefit Analysis
Todd Anderson, Senior Engagement Manager, SDG

Direct Marketing Measurement with Crystal Ball
Tim J. Sweeney, Senior Manager - Customer Reporting, Alliance Data Systems

Efficient Frontier Modeling for Physical Assets
Jim Letzelter, Partner, Webb, Scott & Quinn

Engineering Estimates for Environmental Liability a la Crystal Ball
John A Rhodes, Vice President, Haley & Aldrich, Inc.; Keith P. Brodock, Staff Professional, Haley & Aldrich, Inc.

Forecasting Financial Returns on Capital Investments (only available as presentation)
Donald J. Haugh, Senior Manager for Process and Product Development, Seagate Technology

Funding New Technology
Thoi Truong, Adjunct Faculty, Oregon Health & Science University / OGI / MST

Large-scale Assessment of Financial Consequences of Risks: the Case of the Ariane Space Program
Hervé Thiriez, Professor, HEC School of Management

Live Well—Die Broke
John M. Charnes, Professor, University of Kansas; Howard Marmorstein, Professor, University of Miami; Tom Robinson, Professor, University of Miami

Missile System Design Integrated with Production Planning using Predictive Modeling Techniques
Rick Wood, Lockheed Martin Missles and Fire Control, Jorge Pica, Lockheed Martin Missles and Fire Control / Brigham Young University

Modeling Uncertainty in Project Scheduling
Patrick Leach, Partner, Decision Strategies

Monte Carlo Simulation in Capital Investment
Scott Slinker, CEO, Forecourt Communications Group, Inc.

Optimizing the Growth Portfolio of a Diversified Mining Company
Thomas de Lange, Manager Strategy, Kumba Resources

Pricing for Risk
Bill Fite, Vice President, Strategic Analytics, KeyBank

Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Pesticides: Estimating Effect Levels for Target and Non-target Species
John J. Johnston, Ph.D., M.B.A., United States Department of Agriculture / National Wildlife Research Center

Security Analysis using Discounted Cash Flow Modeling: Simulation Applications
Catherine Shenoy, Director, Applied Portfolio Management, University of Kansas, School of Business

The Use of Monte Carlo Analysis in Organizational Design Process
Ari Pramono, Organizational Development Analyst, PERTAMINA

Using Crystal Ball and MINITAB Together in Six Sigma Projects
Andy Sleeper, Master Black Belt, Successful Statistics LLC

Using Monte Carlo Simulations for Probabilistic Design
Martha M. Gardner, Ph.D., Global Quality Leader, GE Global Research

Valuating Biotech Project Portfolios Using Crystal Ball and Real Options - Case: NatImmune A/S
Aaren Ekelund, Partner, IntelliGlobe Aps

Valuation and Optionality of Large Energy Industry Capital Investments
Robert Graber, Vice President, EnergyPath Corporation

What is World Class Forecasting?
Dr. Mark A. Moon, Associate Professor of Marketing, University of Tennessee, Knoxville

 
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